Tuesday, 27 January 2015

India US Relationship, US Prez visit India on Republic day 2015

Security implication of the US Prez visit
20 Jan 2015 (All India Radio - News Analysis)

Participants: Anil Kamboach, Former IG, BSG and Diwesh Kumar Pandey, The Hindu

Transcription:

What is going to be the perceptional and real change about the security arrangement being made for US Prez visit?

1600 Security personnel from US; Indian Force: 7 different layer of Security – Outermost Paramilitary Force (CRPF, CISF, BSF) – Second layer (Vehicle parking) Cameras identifying Individuals (system initially fed with the photos of the known criminals);

Concern of US Security force – as US prez is to be out in the open ground for long 2 hours?

Close coordination with the Delhi Police – scrutinizing the likely routes to be taken – RADARs, No-Fly Zone;

Elaborate security   - highest level of security – as US involved in the fight against ISIS – threat from the terrorist outfit?

War against ISIS, Al-Qaeda, Islamic Fundamentalist; suspicious message would be intercepted, will be monitored;

Counter measure by the Govt. to prevent Infiltration?

Probable infiltration usually through International border and LoC – Borders are in Red Alert;

Peace during the visit – How important for the Indian Force?

Pakistan will not peaceful with the talk of Obama - Indian Security Agency has taken due precautions;

Threat from Taliban? As they don’t take any activities in Indo-Pak Border.

Taliban fight against the Authority/Established Govt. in Afghanistan;

Good Taliban – Haqqani Group – which Pakistan Support, to disturb the neighboring countries and whereas Bad Taliban – which fight against the Security force;

Breaking away from the Norms/convention visiting dignitary to be accompanied by the Indian PM during Republic Day Celebration;

US Prez to travel in his own convoy “The Beast” heavier than 747 Aircraft – Blast proof;
Blocking of Agra Super High Way – baring the problem other passenger - for VVVIP Security;
Day & Night Alertness – Intelligence Camera – Information/Data sharing with Indian & US security Agencies - Coordination;
____________________________________________________________________________
Indo US Trade Agenda
22 Jan 2015(All India Radio - News Analysis)

Participants: Chinthamani Mahapatra, JNU and Mahendra ved, Senior Journalist

Transcription:

Ahead of US Prez Obama Visit to India; John Kerry visits India – Economic side?

Indo US Economic Relation; EU facing economic crisis since 2008 and similarly china, Brazilian, Russian all developing economies are in crisis whereas India’s Economy is reviving; It could be more than that of China by 2016; Modi’s Foreign Policy agenda so far dominated with Economics – from Japanese $35Bn investment committed; with Chinese Prez $20Bn investment committed; with US $41Bn could come to India; Opening Indian Market to Foreign Technologies & Investment;
Apart from this – the relation carry its own problems – Climate Issue, IPR issues, Nuke liability Clause… India’s entire economy depends on Coal sourced Energy which contradict with the Climate Change commitment;

India’s Pollution of GHG is few/minute fraction compared to that of China & US; Dynamic growth of India’s Economy demand more energy – dependence on Fossil Fuel; Collaboration with US in Technology Transfer – Clean Energy Generation; and Nuke Dimension – it involves lot of Business – GE & Westinghouse US based Companies – Liability clause; Non-Nuclear but Renewable source of Energy – Solar power generation; IPR issue: Production of Generic drug to ensure universal access of Medical facility in India, India cannot compromise at the cost of Indian Masses;
John Kerry was here for Vibrant Gujarat; any solution made for the above issues?

Time is too short – negotiations are going on; revival of relationship after khobargade Issue;

Will this meet would provide specific deals or just broad parameter?

Beyond symbolic issuance of statement – this time something concrete could come out; In Defence sector, US want to build relation beyond mere trader – 17 different Technology Transfer offered for negotiation; Sensitive Technology- speed boat surveillance over Chinese;

John Kerry pitching for 5 times growth in India- US Trade i.e. $500 Bn, as already China –US Trade reached above $500Bn;

Modi aspire for $20Trillion Economy much ahead of US; India’s Investment in US goes 30 times higher since 2000 (From $300Mn to $9Bn);

Opening IPR Issues; Problems of FDI – Insurance, Bank, Health Sector, Defence Production; US demand India to open up all sector;

American is typically Businessman – India’s Demographic Distribution is different – so India’s is more careful country – to ensure Social Justice to the masses;

Rajiv Gandhi Era – Bhopal UCC case – Bad Experience;

Bhopal Gas Tragedy happened in a Chemical Company but we have frightening Nuke incidents of Chernobyl, Fukishima – India’s Concern is that Nuke Trade should be 100% foolproof – 100% liability on the Company never happen across the world, it hinder the Business;

Job creation in both the country;

Outsourcing cannot be encouraged in US; India demand free flow of capital & free flow of Labour/Services; Win-Win situation can be made with some compromises;  

Significance of US Prez visit

25 Jan 2015(All India Radio - News Analysis)

Participants: Prof. Subrato Mukherjie, Former Faculty, Delhi University and Adithi Tandan, Associate Editor, Tribune

Transcription:

High held summit among Indian PM & US Prez – significant revival of the bilateral relation 
however in tarter about a year ago – after the Khobargade Issue; First US Prez to attend Republic day function;

Lot of substantial issues to be carried – Joint statement, Defence, Climate Change, Indo-US Nuke deal; how do you see the progress in Indo-US Relationship?
Historic moment; Entire period of recent history – bi-partisanship of India’s Foreign Policy; first point made by our PM is Civil Nuke Deal done during UPA Regime; Cornerstone of relation revolves around that; two larger democracies; ultimately larger process of decision making in foreign policy; larger perception on context national interest, context of leadership, context of people to people relation, context of civilization term;

PM Modi – repeatedly address US Prez as Barack – sort of personal understanding; breaking convention, PM himself went to receive Foreign visiting dignitary;

Emphasis on Symbolism – Obama interview to a Magazine in India – recognize the symbolic visit to India, to begin new era of history between the two countries;

Symbolism vs. Sub tern part after joint declaration, how do you see it?

Symbolism matter quite abate specially in this usual age– Domestic pattern of politics and International politics converge; US Prez concentrate more on Legislature process whereas Indian PM focus on Electoral process;

Symbolism is metaphorically a departure from the past practice, for instance: tradition in the cold war days or follow up of NAM, a equidistance – moved to new partnership – unilateral world – Ideological battle of yesteryears are relegated back foot; US see India as Emerging power, Democratic power, Countervailing power, Stabilizing Power in the South Asia; In that context Asia without India is incomplete;

Deliverable made at the joint statement – Indo US civil Nuke deal (commercial agreement after 6 years) – Liability clause (Supplier Clause); and on Clean Energy Issue – to address the Climate Change – US agreement with China – US pressurize India to accept some sort of Emission cut; How do you look at these pressures?
US & China agreement lack specificity – it is just a broad area of agreement; Economic development, levels of Development is very different among India, US and China; Climate change & Global warming are major concern;

India’s Interest – Permanent membership in UN – US affirm India met the requirement of NMCT to get membership in NSG; but US was not seem to be active in promoting India’s Call;
UNSC is different all together; If Germany is included, Italy will oppose; If Japan included, Korea may not like it; If Brazil is included, Argentina will oppose; If India is included, there is expected opposition from Pakistan; So it working on Idea of Rotational System of Term Membership; President has accepted the need for the Reform;

India and America shared interest in Asia Pacific Region - China’s Assertion in South China sea - US siding Indian Interest on that – how do you see it?
There should be Equilibrium – the region is growing;
“Nobel Friends and Companions are whole of the holy life” – PM Modi

Also to note:
“What Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. said then remains true today - “The spirit of Gandhi is very much alive in India today. And it remains a great gift to the world. May we always live in his spirit of love and peace – among all people and nations, he wrote in the guest book.

(Barrack Obama, on 25 Jan 2015 – in Visitor’s Log - Rajghat)

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